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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +139 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a massive 11.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to be the most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Dolphins to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 61.2% red zone pass rate.
  • This week, Tua Tagovailoa is expected by our trusted projection set to average the 3rd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.7.
  • With an exceptional 71.0% Adjusted Completion% (82nd percentile) this year, Tua Tagovailoa rates as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Dolphins to run the 2nd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

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