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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Jets linebackers project as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dolphins to pass on 55.2% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are predicted by the projection model to call only 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 52.0 plays per game.
  • In this week's contest, Tua Tagovailoa is anticipated by the model to wind up with the 6th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.8.

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