My Account Log Out

reorder

Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Carolina Panthers

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-245/+186).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -245.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the end zone (58.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Dolphins.

Tua Tagovailoa's 72.0% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a an impressive improvement in his passing accuracy over last season's 64.0% mark.

With an exceptional rate of 2.20 per game (97th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa stands among the top TD passers in football this year.

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's unit has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a giant 14-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The model projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins offense to be the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 29.19 seconds per play.

In this contest, Tua Tagovailoa is predicted by the predictive model to have the 10th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.5.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Carolina Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 30.6 per game) this year.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™