My Account Log Out

reorder

Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-142/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.1% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 35.7 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.

Tua Tagovailoa's throwing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 64.0% to 67.3%.

Tua Tagovailoa has been among the leading TD passers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 1.93 per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

The Denver Broncos cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-worst collection of CBs in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are a 6-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 54.2 plays per game.

The Denver Broncos defense has allowed the 10th-least passing TDs in the NFL: 1.26 per game since the start of last season.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™