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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Tua Tagovailoa's 70.1% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a substantial growth in his passing accuracy over last year's 64.0% mark.

With an exceptional rate of 1.85 per game (87th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa has been among the top TD throwers in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Dolphins are a massive favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal approach.

The projections expect the Miami Dolphins to be the 11th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 56.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

With a 48.4% rate of throwing the ball in the red zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-least pass-focused offense in the league in this setting has been the Miami Dolphins.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Dolphins have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.6 plays per game.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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