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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Tua Tagovailoa TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 6th-most pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 61.1% red zone pass rate.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

Tua Tagovailoa has been among the most on-target passers in the NFL this year with an impressive 69.3% Completion%, ranking in the 94th percentile.

Tua Tagovailoa has been among the top TD throwers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 2.00 per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded the 6th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.83 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 57.0 plays per game.

The Miami Dolphins offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 8th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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