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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 10th-least run-centric team in the league (37.8% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Miami Dolphins.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by the model to call only 62.2 total plays in this game: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 49.8 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Tua Tagovailoa to garner 2.2 rush attempts in this contest, on balance: the 3rd-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has averaged just 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the smallest figures in football among quarterbacks (22nd percentile).

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