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Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-109).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Dolphins have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.Tua Tagovailoa's rushing effectiveness has improved this season, compiling 5.40 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a measly 3.35 rate last season.When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Green Bay's collection of DTs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in football. in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.The projections expect the Dolphins as the 9th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 40.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Our trusted projections expect Tua Tagovailoa to garner 2.0 carries in this contest, on average: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.Tua Tagovailoa is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for a measly 4.2% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 19th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.With a very bad rate of 5.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (18th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa stands as one of the bottom running QBs in the league this year.
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