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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Dolphins, who are a heavy favorite by 7.5 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to run on 44.5% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The Dolphins have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.

Tua Tagovailoa's ground effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, averaging 5.39 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 3.35 mark last year.

The Patriots safeties grade out as the 30th-worst unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Tua Tagovailoa to garner 1.9 carries in this game, on average: the 4th-fewest among all QBs.

Tua Tagovailoa is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for just 4.5% of his team's run game usage this year, putting him in the 20th percentile among QBs.

With a very bad total of 6.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (23rd percentile), Tua Tagovailoa stands among the bottom running quarterbacks in football this year.

Tua Tagovailoa grades out as one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL at generating extra ground yardage, averaging just 0.36 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 25th percentile.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

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