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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a giant 13-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (140 per game) against the Giants defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.8% run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins offense to be the 6th-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.12 seconds per snap.
  • With an awful record of 5.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (20th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa ranks among the worst rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.
  • Tua Tagovailoa's 2.51 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year illustrates a a noteworthy reduction in his running proficiency over last year's 4.92 mark.
  • The New York Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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