Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a giant 13-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
The Dolphins O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.
Opposing squads have rushed for the 8th-most adjusted yards in the league (140 per game) against the Giants defense this year.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.8% run rate.
The leading projections forecast the Dolphins offense to be the 6th-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 29.12 seconds per snap.
With an awful record of 5.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (20th percentile), Tua Tagovailoa ranks among the worst rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.
Tua Tagovailoa's 2.51 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year illustrates a a noteworthy reduction in his running proficiency over last year's 4.92 mark.
The New York Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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