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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 234.5 (-111/-113).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to pass on 61.0% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Dolphins since the start of last season (a monstrous 58.7 per game on average).
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • The leading projections forecast Tua Tagovailoa to throw 35.8 passes this week, on balance: the 9th-most among all QBs.
  • Tua Tagovailoa is positioned as one of the top passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 255.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Since the start of last season, the poor Patriots defense has allowed the most yards-after-the-catch in the league to the opposing side: a massive 0.00 YAC.

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