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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 186.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 219.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 186.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year, the porous Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for a colossal 260.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 4th-most in the league.
  • This year, the feeble Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing teams: a staggering 8.86 yards.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Cincinnati's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins rank as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 56.9% pass rate.
  • The model projects the Dolphins to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 48.6 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Tua Tagovailoa to throw 33.0 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 11th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the worst in football this year.

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