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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 210.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 215.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 210.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets pass defense has displayed poor efficiency this year, allowing 7.90 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-most in the NFL.
  • The Jets linebackers project as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dolphins to pass on 55.2% of their plays: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are predicted by the projection model to call only 63.4 total plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 52.0 plays per game.
  • In this week's contest, Tua Tagovailoa is anticipated by the model to wind up with the 6th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 32.8.

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