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Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 233.5 (-108/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 233.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 233.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

This year, the deficient Washington Commanders defense has been torched for a staggering 270.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-worst in the NFL.

This year, the deficient Washington Commanders defense has been gouged for the most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing teams: a colossal 9.55 yards.

The Washington cornerbacks profile as the worst CB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins have been the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.5% pass rate.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by the model to run just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 4th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 51.7 per game on average).

The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Tua Tagovailoa has passed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (182.0) this year than he did last year (268.0).

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders

Tua Tagovailoa Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 11