Tua Tagovailoa Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+100/-130).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
The Dolphins have been the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.5% pass rate.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by the model to run just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.
The 4th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 51.7 per game on average).
