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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 10

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a giant 8-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dolphins to pass on 61.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.3 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Dolphins this year (only 52.4 per game on average).
  • This week, Tua Tagovailoa is predicted by the projection model to have the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 31.5.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bills, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 29.9 per game) this year.

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