Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+105).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 63.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
In this contest, Tua Tagovailoa is projected by the projection model to total the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.2.
Kansas City's defense ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year when it comes to causing interceptions, compiling a lowly 0.62 per game.
Favors Under
Right now, the 4th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Miami Dolphins.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the 4th-best unit in football this year with their pass rush.