Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Interceptions

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-148/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.2% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to attempt 37.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-most of all QBs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in the league.

Favors Under

The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 54.2 plays per game.
The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
The New England Patriots have intercepted 0.94 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 4th-best defense in the NFL by this standard.
The New England Patriots linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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