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Tua Tagovailoa Completions
Player Prop Week 9

Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens

Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Dolphins, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 61.8% of their downs: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (39.7 per game) this year.

This year, the poor Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded a monstrous 76.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 6th-largest rate in the NFL.

The Ravens linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Dolphins to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 4th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (just 51.8 per game on average).

The predictive model expects Tua Tagovailoa to throw 31.7 passes in this game, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.

When it comes to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Dolphins profiles as the worst in football this year.

Tua Tagovailoa's 69.3% Adjusted Completion% this year conveys a remarkable reduction in his passing accuracy over last year's 73.5% mark.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa CompletionsPlayer Prop Week 9

Miami Dolphins vs Baltimore Ravens

Tua Tagovailoa Completions
Player Prop Week 9