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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Completions
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -129.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their normal approach.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 62.7% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Atlanta's group of CBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Dolphins to call the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 50.4 plays per game.
  • In this game, Tua Tagovailoa is anticipated by the projections to total the 8th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.3.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Atlanta Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 27.2 per game) this year.
  • The Dolphins offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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