My Account Log Out
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Completions
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 9th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Bengals defense this year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Cincinnati's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins rank as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 56.9% pass rate.
  • The model projects the Dolphins to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 48.6 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Tua Tagovailoa to throw 33.0 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 11th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the worst in football this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™