Tua Tagovailoa Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Completions

Miami Dolphins vs New Orleans Saints · Week 13, 2025

Updated Nov 30, 2025 9:07 PM EST

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-107/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-highest level in the league versus the Saints defense this year (73.7% Adjusted Completion%).
The New Orleans Saints safeties rank as the 9th-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 54.6% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Right now, the most sluggish paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Saints, totaling the fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.6 per game) this year.

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