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Tua Tagovailoa Completions
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders

Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -245 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -103.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in football versus the Washington Commanders defense this year (74.7% Adjusted Completion%).

The Washington cornerbacks profile as the worst CB corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins have been the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.5% pass rate.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by the model to run just 62.4 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 4th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 51.7 per game on average).

The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Tua Tagovailoa's throwing accuracy has diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 73.5% to 68.2%.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa CompletionsPlayer Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders

Tua Tagovailoa Completions
Player Prop Week 11