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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Completions
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Miami Dolphins to pass on 62.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a whopping 59.7 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Tua Tagovailoa to throw 36.5 passes in this week's game, on average: the 5th-most among all quarterbacks.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has been one of the most accurate QBs in the league last year with a stellar 73.5% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 100th percentile.
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest level in the league against the Colts defense last year (76.3% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are anticipated by the model to run just 61.6 total plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Dolphins ranks as the 10th-worst in football last year.

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