My Account Log Out

reorder

Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Completions
Player Prop Week 7

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Tua Tagovailoa Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

Tua Tagovailoa has been among the most on-target passers in the NFL this year with an impressive 69.3% Completion%, ranking in the 94th percentile.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Miami Dolphins have used play action on 33.9% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (2nd-most in football), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 57.0 plays per game.

The Miami Dolphins offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 8th-best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

More Tua Tagovailoa Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™