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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Dolphins since the start of last season (a monstrous 58.7 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to run on 39.0% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Dolphins to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • The model projects Tua Tagovailoa to earn 2.0 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 6th-fewest among all QBs.
  • Tua Tagovailoa is not much of a runner and has accounted for a measly 4.7% of his team's run game usage since the start of last season, placing him in the 20th percentile when it comes to QBs.

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