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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins have called the 5th-most plays in the NFL last year, totaling a whopping 59.7 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dolphins to run on 37.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Miami Dolphins are anticipated by the model to run just 61.6 total plays in this contest: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • In this game, Tua Tagovailoa is forecasted by the projections to total the 5th-fewest rush attempts among all QBs with 1.7.
  • Taking on a lowly 4.4% of his offense's run game usage last year (20th percentile among QBs), Tua Tagovailoa's lack of speed makes him no threat in the run game.
  • The Indianapolis defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL last year when it comes to run defense.

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