Tua Tagovailoa Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Tua Tagovailoa

NFL · Player Props

Tua Tagovailoa

QB · Miami Dolphins

Carries

Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins · Week 13, 2024

Updated Nov 29, 2024 3:31 AM EST

Analysis

Tua Tagovailoa Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dolphins have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 59.8 plays per game.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Green Bay's collection of DTs has been very bad this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The Dolphins are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The projections expect the Dolphins as the 9th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 40.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Tua Tagovailoa to garner 2.0 carries in this contest, on average: the 7th-fewest among all QBs.
Tua Tagovailoa is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for a measly 4.2% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 19th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

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