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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Carries
Player Prop Week 2

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 6th-least run-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 35.8% run rate.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling just 54.2 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tua Tagovailoa to total 2.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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