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Tua Tagovailoa

Tua Tagovailoa Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Tua Tagovailoa Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a huge 13.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being projected in this game) generally cause lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher rush volume.
  • As it relates to executing run-blocking assignments (and the importance it has on all run game statistics), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL last year.
  • The Titans defensive ends project as the 4th-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the 2nd-least run-centric team in the NFL (36.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Miami Dolphins.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see just 127.4 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.8 plays per game.
  • In racking up a feeble 1.6 rush attempts per game this year, Tua Tagovailoa ranks among the bottom QBs in the NFL (24th percentile) when it comes to rushing usage.

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