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Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Treylon Burks Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+375/-455).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +430 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +375.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Josh Johnson.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 132.1 total plays run: the 4th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • Our trusted projections expect Treylon Burks to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the end zone in this week's game (16.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.4% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most run-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (50.2% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Commanders.
  • The 7th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (just 54.5 per game on average).
  • With a poor 46.7% Adjusted Completion Rate (11th percentile) this year, Treylon Burks places as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among wide receivers.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Dallas's unit has been awful this year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

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