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Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Treylon Burks Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+630/-1150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +650 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +630.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's DT corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Washington Commanders to pass on 54.0% of their chances: the 9th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 47.5% red zone run rate.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.
  • The Vikings defense has surrendered the 7th-fewest receiving TDs in the league to WRs: 0.67 per game this year.

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