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Treylon Burks Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Treylon Burks Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+880/-1100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1050 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +880.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.

The Commanders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects Treylon Burks to be a more important option in his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (7.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (0.0% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Commanders to be the 3rd-most run-focused offense in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 50.6% red zone run rate.

The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 53.9 plays per game.

With an awful rate of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Treylon Burks places among the bottom receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to WRs since the start of last season.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in football against the Denver Broncos defense this year (64.7% Adjusted Completion%).

This year, the fierce Denver Broncos defense has surrendered a paltry 0.18 passing TDs per game to opposing WRs: the smallest rate in the league.

More Treylon Burks Player Props

Treylon Burks TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Treylon Burks Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13