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Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Treylon Burks Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1300/-1400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may take to the air less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a heavy -8-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
  • While Treylon Burks has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Washington's passing attack near the goal line in this game at 5.1%.
  • The Lions defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most receiving TDs in the NFL to WRs: 1.50 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 3rd-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 48.6% red zone run rate.
  • With a dreadful rate of only 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), Treylon Burks rates among the worst receiving touchdown-scorers in football among wideouts since the start of last season.
  • This year, the fierce Lions defense has conceded a meager 66.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 6th-lowest rate in football.

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