My Account Log Out
 
 
Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Treylon Burks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-192).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -182 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -192.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Treylon Burks has run fewer routes this season (56.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (45.3%).
  • The Vikings safeties project as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Commanders have been the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.
  • With a puny 1.1 adjusted receptions per game (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Treylon Burks has been among the bottom WRs in the league in football.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™