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Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Treylon Burks Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-245/+185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -230 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -245.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may take to the air less in this game (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling out backup QB Marcus Mariota.
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a heavy -8-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Commanders offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 6th-least pass-focused team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.8% pass rate.
  • Treylon Burks checks in as one of the worst wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging just 0.7 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 4th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Detroit Lions pass defense has surrendered the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (61.5%) vs. wide receivers this year (61.5%).
  • The Lions linebackers profile as the 4th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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