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Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Treylon Burks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Josh Johnson.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see 131.8 total plays run: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • While Treylon Burks has garnered 11.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Washington's offense this week at 18.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Washington Commanders to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.3% pass rate.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Washington Commanders this year (just 54.5 per game on average).
  • Treylon Burks ranks as one of the worst pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a lowly 16.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 20th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • With a poor 46.7% Adjusted Completion Rate (11th percentile) this year, Treylon Burks places as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among wide receivers.

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