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Treylon Burks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

Treylon Burks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+110/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Treylon Burks has run fewer routes this season (56.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (45.3%).

This year, the porous Minnesota Vikings defense has yielded the 5th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a whopping 8.74 yards.

The Vikings safeties project as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Commanders have been the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.9% pass rate.

The model projects this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Vikings, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 29.2 per game) this year.

With a poor 14.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (19th percentile) since the start of last season, Treylon Burks has been as one of the bottom pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.

The Vikings defense has given up the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 114.0) vs. wideouts this year.

More Treylon Burks Player Props

Treylon Burks Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 14

Minnesota Vikings vs Washington Commanders

Treylon Burks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14