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Treylon Burks

Treylon Burks Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Treylon Burks Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Commanders may throw the ball less this week (and call more rushes) since they be forced to utilize backup quarterback Marcus Mariota.
  • The Commanders are a 6-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 56.9% pass rate.
  • The Washington Commanders have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 53.9 plays per game.
  • Treylon Burks comes in as one of the weakest WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 14.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 19th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 123.0) to WRs this year.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against wide receivers this year, surrendering 6.62 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the NFL.

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