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Trey Palmer

Trey Palmer Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Trey Palmer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.2 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • Trey Palmer's 6.2% Target Rate this year represents a substantial drop-off in his passing offense volume over last year's 12.1% rate.
  • Trey Palmer ranks as one of the worst WRs in the game this year, averaging a lowly 1.5 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 22nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • The 49ers pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (57.7%) to WRs this year (57.7%).
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's LB corps has been terrific this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

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