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Trey Palmer

Trey Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Trey Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Buccaneers as the 9th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 132.5 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The projections expect Trey Palmer to be a more important option in his offense's pass attack this week (14.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.5% in games he has played).
  • The Falcons pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (72.8%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After accumulating 41.0 air yards per game last season, Trey Palmer has seen a big decrease this season, now pacing 17.0 per game.
  • With a bad 17.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (22nd percentile) this year, Trey Palmer places among the bottom wide receivers in the game in football.
  • Trey Palmer comes in as one of the most unreliable receivers in football, catching a mere 57.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 15th percentile among WRs
  • Trey Palmer comes in as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a measly 5.90 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 5th percentile when it comes to wide receivers
  • With a subpar 2.82 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (20th percentile) since the start of last season, Trey Palmer stands among the leading wide receivers in the league in the league in space.

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