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Trey Palmer

Trey Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

Trey Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's game.

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to be the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Trey Palmer's 9.2 adjusted yards per target this year indicates a meaningful progression in his receiving talent over last year's 5.7 figure.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.41 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call just 62.2 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

Trey Palmer's 6.2% Target Rate this year represents a substantial drop-off in his passing offense volume over last year's 12.1% rate.

Trey Palmer has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).

With a poor 2.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (22nd percentile) since the start of last season, Trey Palmer has been as one of the leading wide receivers in the league in football in the open field.

The 49ers pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (57.7%) to WRs this year (57.7%).

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