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Trey Palmer

Trey Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Trey Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.3% pass rate.

At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Buccaneers.

The Commanders defense has been a glaring pass funnel last year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (35.4 per game) last year.

Last year, the anemic Commanders defense has conceded a massive 180.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the most in the league.

Last year, the anemic Commanders defense has conceded the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a staggering 9.88 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

With a weak 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (20th percentile) last year, Trey Palmer has been as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the league when it comes to wide receivers.

Trey Palmer rates as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging just 6.62 adjusted yards-per-target last year while checking in at the 8th percentile when it comes to wide receivers

Trey Palmer checks in as one of the bottom wideouts in football at generating extra yardage, averaging just 2.38 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while grading out in the 9th percentile.

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