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Trey Palmer

Trey Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Trey Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Carolina's collection of CBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.6% more towards the run game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • With a bad 59.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (22nd percentile) this year, Trey Palmer has been as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among wide receivers.

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