Trey Palmer Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Trey Palmer

NFL · Player Props

Trey Palmer

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Trey Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Carolina's collection of CBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.6% more towards the run game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
With a bad 59.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (22nd percentile) this year, Trey Palmer has been as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among wide receivers.

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