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Trey McBride Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-200).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -176 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -200.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Right now, the 9th-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (57.9% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.While Trey McBride has earned 22.2% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in Arizona's offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 27.9%.When it comes to air yards, Trey McBride grades out in the towering 99th percentile among tight ends this year, averaging a colossal 52.0 per game.Trey McBride's 59.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 100th percentile for TEs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.The leading projections forecast the Cardinals as the 9th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Trey McBride's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 79.2% to 73.5%.This year, the feeble Titans run defense has given up a whopping 1.75 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the highest rate in football.
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