My Account Log Out
 
 
Trey McBride

Trey McBride Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Trey McBride Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+220/-235).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -230 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -235.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • As it relates to air yards, Trey McBride grades out in the towering 98th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, accumulating a whopping 55.0 per game.
  • Trey McBride has been in the 100th percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a massive 61.1 figure since the start of last season.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals have run the 10th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.
  • Arizona's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats too low) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-lowest clip in the NFL against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season (69.6% Adjusted Completion%).
  • Since the start of last season, the porous 49ers run defense has yielded a monstrous 1.32 rushing TDs per game to the opposing side: the 3rd-worst rate in the league.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™