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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Trey McBride Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+106/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The model projects the Cardinals as the 3rd-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.5% red zone pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year.
  • Trey McBride's 75.0% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 79.2% figure.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers rank as the best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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