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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

With a high 92.3% Route Participation% (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Trey McBride ranks as one of the tight ends with the most usage in football.

The predictive model expects Trey McBride to earn 9.2 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season.

Trey McBride checks in as one of the best pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.8 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals have run the 10th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.

Arizona's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially inflated (and running stats too low) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to count on some regression with windier weather in this game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

The 49ers pass defense has allowed the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.6%) versus TEs since the start of last season (73.6%).

The 49ers linebackers rank as the best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

More Trey McBride Player Props

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