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Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+111/-136).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +111.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.Trey McBride has run a route on 92.0% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to tight ends.In this week's game, Trey McBride is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 100th percentile among tight ends with 9.1 targets.The Arizona O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.Trey McBride is positioned as one of the top tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 6.8 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Cardinals, who are favored by 6.5 points.The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.Right now, the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Cardinals.Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Panthers, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.9 per game) since the start of last season.Trey McBride's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 79.2% to 72.0%.
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