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Trey McBride

Trey McBride Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Houston Texans vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Trey McBride Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-134/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are a giant 10-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals to be the most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 66.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.0 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Trey McBride's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 79.2% to 75.2%.
  • The Texans pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.7%) vs. tight ends this year (71.7%).
  • As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Houston's unit has been outstanding this year, ranking as the best in the league.

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